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Tehran reacts to Israeli strikes
Iranian state media has downplayed the impact of recent Israeli precision air strikes, which took place on October 25 in response to an earlier Iranian strike on October 1.
The attack was fueled by Israel’s attacks in Lebanon, which killed and wounded civilians and Hamas leader Yaha Sinwar.
According to Iranian statements, the attacks inflicted only minor damage, where Israeli officials claim they significantly weakened Iran’s air defense capabilities. It is expected that these strikes will conclude the immediate exchange of hostilities, as the destroyed S-300 air defense systems leave Iran in a vulnerable position for future retaliatory strikes.
In the short term, Israel is expected to reduce direct confrontation but will likely maintain pressure on Tehran through operations targeting Iranian-backed proxies, such as Hezbollah. In the mid-term, Iran will seek to reinforce its position as a stabilizing force in the region, citing the absence of decisive actions from international bodies as a key factor that leaves the region vulnerable to unchecked hostilities. In the long-term, the conflict’s intensification, particularly surrounding Gaza, may prompt Iran to disrupt maritime routes critical to Israel, such as those in the Gulf and Red Sea. Israel, meanwhile, plans to invest in defense and technological advancements to maintain a strategic edge and deter future threats from Iran.
Alex Rannou is a Policy and International Affairs Analyst with a Master’s in International Cooperation & Public Policy, focusing in Latin America-Asia Pacific relations and Global South dynamics.