Forecast

2019 forecast: WTO reform and the Appellate Body 0
- Forecast
- January 1, 2019
Without US economic power backing it, the WTO could become a toothless tiger.
2019 forecast: Iraq – investment versus insurgency 0
- Forecast
- December 31, 2018
Iraq’s shaky new coalition government has a fiscal window to address major problems.
2019 forecast: is Syria’s civil war coming to a close?0
- Forecast
- December 31, 2018
As the war draws to a close, the major players will try to consolidate their positions.
2019 forecast: Somalia – small improvements, big challenges 0
- Forecast
- December 30, 2018
Local elections will not offset anger over border clashes, insurgencies, and corruption.
2019 forecast: Ethiopia ushers in a new regional era 0
- Forecast
- December 30, 2018
Savvy diplomacy should boost the economy but domestic tensions will persist.
2019 forecast: the US-China trade war to drag on 0
- Forecast
- December 29, 2018
The stand off between the economic giants will continue unless an unlikely win-win solution is found.

2019 forecast: next steps in the US-China confrontation 0
- Forecast
- December 29, 2018
The downward spiral of US-China relations will increasingly focus on 5G tech.
2019 forecast: major hurdles for the ASEAN Code of Conduct 0
- Forecast
- December 28, 2018
Domestic distractions and Chinese demands will slow progress on the draft agreement.
2019 forecast: China’s South China Sea strategy 0
- Forecast
- December 28, 2018
The US and its allies will find their military options increasingly curtailed by China’s defensive plans.
2019 forecast: the Iran deal hangs by a thread 0
- Forecast
- December 27, 2018
Tehran will probably refrain from confronting the US due to domestic considerations.
2019 forecast: fallout from the Khashoggi affair 0
- Forecast
- December 27, 2018
Bluster and limited sanctions will be the hallmark of the US-Saudi relationship in 2019.
2019 forecast: Eurozone banking and budget reforms 0
- Forecast
- December 26, 2018
Crisis-prone Euro states will push for more stringent rules while limiting their loss of sovereignty.