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Forecast

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  • Forecast

  • 2019 forecast: WTO reform and the Appellate Body

    2019 forecast: WTO reform and the Appellate Body0

    • Forecast
    • January 1, 2019

    Without US economic power backing it, the WTO could become a toothless tiger.

  • 2019 forecast: Iraq – investment versus insurgency

    2019 forecast: Iraq – investment versus insurgency0

    • Forecast
    • December 31, 2018

    Iraq’s shaky new coalition government has a fiscal window to address major problems.

  • 2019 forecast: is Syria’s civil war coming to a close?

    2019 forecast: is Syria’s civil war coming to a close?0

    • Forecast
    • December 31, 2018

    As the war draws to a close, the major players will try to consolidate their positions.

  • 2019 forecast: Somalia – small improvements, big challenges

    2019 forecast: Somalia – small improvements, big challenges0

    • Forecast
    • December 30, 2018

    Local elections will not offset anger over border clashes, insurgencies, and corruption.

  • 2019 forecast: Ethiopia ushers in a new regional era

    2019 forecast: Ethiopia ushers in a new regional era0

    • Forecast
    • December 30, 2018

    Savvy diplomacy should boost the economy but domestic tensions will persist.

  • 2019 forecast: the US-China trade war to drag on

    2019 forecast: the US-China trade war to drag on0

    • Forecast
    • December 29, 2018

    The stand off between the economic giants will continue unless an unlikely win-win solution is found.

  • 2019 forecast: next steps in the US-China confrontation

    2019 forecast: next steps in the US-China confrontation0

    • Forecast
    • December 29, 2018

    The downward spiral of US-China relations will increasingly focus on 5G tech.

  • 2019 forecast: major hurdles for the ASEAN Code of Conduct

    2019 forecast: major hurdles for the ASEAN Code of Conduct0

    • Forecast
    • December 28, 2018

    Domestic distractions and Chinese demands will slow progress on the draft agreement.

  • 2019 forecast: China’s South China Sea strategy

    2019 forecast: China’s South China Sea strategy0

    • Forecast
    • December 28, 2018

    The US and its allies will find their military options increasingly curtailed by China’s defensive plans.

  • 2019 forecast: the Iran deal hangs by a thread

    2019 forecast: the Iran deal hangs by a thread0

    • Forecast
    • December 27, 2018

    Tehran will probably refrain from confronting the US due to domestic considerations.

  • 2019 forecast: fallout from the Khashoggi affair

    2019 forecast: fallout from the Khashoggi affair0

    • Forecast
    • December 27, 2018

    Bluster and limited sanctions will be the hallmark of the US-Saudi relationship in 2019.

  • 2019 forecast: Eurozone banking and budget reforms

    2019 forecast: Eurozone banking and budget reforms0

    • Forecast
    • December 26, 2018

    Crisis-prone Euro states will push for more stringent rules while limiting their loss of sovereignty.

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