Greg is a risk analyst in the Africa and Middle East and North Africa teams. He takes a particular interest in issues pertaining to central and North Africa.
Despite community resistance, the Islamist extremist group has gained a foothold in the security void.
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Burkinabe citizens are grappling with the consequences of a recent spike in militant violence.
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Regional governments will struggle to halt a spike in petro-piracy and kidnap for ransom schemes.
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The extremist group will remain a threat to Kenya until its conscription tactics are addressed.
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Ties between the two fundamentalist groups are concerning but the depth of cooperation is uncertain.
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Conflict is escalating in the country’s north, which has been riddled with violence since 2012
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Peaceful protests forced the president’s resignation. But the ruling party will fight to stay in power.
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The country’s meteoric rise to regional powerhouse has come at the cost of civil freedoms.
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Systemic state-led repression leaves little hope for improvement in the new year.
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Iraq’s shaky new coalition government has a fiscal window to address major problems.
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Local elections will not offset anger over border clashes, insurgencies, and corruption.
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Savvy diplomacy should boost the economy but domestic tensions will persist.
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Entrenched militia and self-interested politicians are majority stumbling blocks to a successful vote.
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The easing of tensions between Eritrea and Ethiopia could be fresh trouble with Djibouti.
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The extremist group is entrenched in the peninsula. It will take more than force to oust them.
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Egypt’s historic hegemony over the Nile is being tested by Ethiopia’s extensive dam project.
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