Foreign Brief | Geopolitical risk analysis | Foreign Brief

- December 17, 2018
Cooperation or confrontation? The failure of APEC 2018

The public divide at APEC 2018 is unlikely to be bridged soon.
- December 14, 2018
Taiwan's pro-reunification party stages a comeback

Pro-independence forces have been rattled by their surprise loss in the 'midterm' local elections.
- November 29, 2018
Gaza: war unlikely, but peace a fool's paradise

Despite mutual support for the ceasefire, domestic concerns will keep a peace deal off the table.

Kosovo and Serbia struggle to advance land swap
- Europe
- November 27, 2018
Despite the merits of the proposal, Belgrade and Pristina are a long way from reaching a deal.
By Evangelos Nicolaidis
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Libya’s hopeful elections: wishful thinking writ large
- Middle East
- November 25, 2018
Entrenched militia and self-interested politicians are majority stumbling blocks to a successful vote.
By Tom Connolly
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Will Australia follow Trump’s Middle East policy?
- Middle East
- November 23, 2018
PM Morrison has suggested moving Australia's Israeli embassy to Jerusalem and leaving the Iran deal.
By Rhys De Wilde
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Repairing a broken system: the US and WTO reform
- Multilateral Institutions
- November 18, 2018
Blocking the work of the dispute resolution body could cause considerable blowback for the US.
By Euan Moyle
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ASEAN-China Code of Conduct to conclude in three years?
- Southeast Asia
- November 16, 2018
With a lot of players and not much time, concluding negotiations by 2021 is an ambitious goal.
By Tommy Chai
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President-General Secretary: Trong’s power consolidation
- Southeast Asia
- November 13, 2018
Vietnam’s consensus-based model of communist rule is sliding towards authoritarianism.
By Jonathan Frances
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Hypocrisy and censorship: China’s human rights model
- China
- November 11, 2018
By deflecting allegations and accusing critics of abuse, Beijing is stifling the human rights agenda.
By Hanley Foster
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Relations in Horn of Africa: a thawing of hostilities
- Africa
- November 5, 2018
The easing of tensions between Eritrea and Ethiopia could be fresh trouble with Djibouti.
By Tom Connolly
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FROM THE ADVISORY BRANCH

Reliant on money from China, Australian universities are exposed to geopolitical risk
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Recommendations to strengthen Australia’s relations with the African continent
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PARTNERED ANALYSIS

What does Erdoğan want from the Jamal Khashoggi Murder?
- December 1, 2018
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is not known for soft rhetoric.
By Global Security Review

The Political Ramifications of Trump’s Haste to Make Peace with the Taliban
- December 13, 2018
Any peace deal should include strong guarantees to prevent the Taliban—who’ve shown a penchant for totalitarian rule—from gaining too much power.
By Global Security Review

Russia is Consolidating its Control Over the Black Sea
- November 21, 2018
Russia's actions are an immediate threat to Ukrainian national security.
By Global Security Review