Foreign Brief | Geopolitical risk analysis | Foreign Brief

- September 16, 2018
Uncertainty over US-China relations in the NDAA 2019

Implementation of the US pivot to Asia remains haphazard and piecemeal.
- September 14, 2018
Idlib province: the Syrian revolution’s last stand

Despite the apparent threat, a massive assault against Idlib is unlikely - for now.
- August 30, 2018
Is the ‘Australia solution’ the answer to Europe’s immigration crisis?

Canberra's hardline immigration approach has been touted as a model but obstacles remain.

The Saudi blockade on Qatar: likely outcomes in 2018
- Middle East
- August 26, 2018
The diplomatic crisis, first thought to last only weeks, is dragging on into its second year.

By Jamie Horsfield
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Pakistan’s undemocratic transition: what next for Khan?
- South Asia
- August 24, 2018
A financial crisis, political instability, and foreign pressure — the new PM has a lot on his plate.

By Hamish Goater
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Xi’s damage control with Chinese characteristics for a new era
- China
- August 19, 2018
China’s ‘president for life’ may face unexpected resistance at the Beidaihe conference.

By Jonathan Frances
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Shaky ground: the future of the AUSMIN meetings
- Asia Pacific
- August 17, 2018
The annual discussions occurred amid renewed questions about US commitment to the Indo-Pacific.

By Euan Moyle
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FROM THE ADVISORY BRANCH

Reliant on money from China, Australian universities are exposed to geopolitical risk
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Recommendations to strengthen Australia’s relations with the African continent
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South China Sea update: the future Vietnam-China standoff
- Asia Pacific
- August 1, 2018
The use of plausibly deniable fishing militia to defend sovereign claims is an attractive option.

By Tommy Chai
Debt diplomacy: Mahathir follows the corrupt 1MDB trail
- Southeast Asia
- July 21, 2018
If China renegotiates Malaysia’s debt, it could cause a cascade of demands from other countries.

By Jonathan Frances

No confidence in Spain: Madrid faces fresh challenges
- Europe
- July 19, 2018
The new government must find allies in parliament — and quickly — if it hopes to retain power.

By Margaret Goydych
Is peace finally on the horizon in Afghanistan?
- Security & Terrorism
- July 15, 2018
The Eid ceasefire demonstrated the viability of peace – but it weighs numerous competing interests.

By Henry Storey