Foreign Brief | Geopolitical risk analysis | Foreign Brief

- October 15, 2018
In the crosshairs: Trump’s trade war turns on Japan

Tokyo's strong ties to Washington may be jeopardised by the threat of auto tariffs.
- October 11, 2018
Going it alone? The ICC and the future of US multilateralism

A reversion to US unilateral could have significant consequences for the world's institutional order.
- October 10, 2018
Pivot to Russia? Mongolia’s participation in Vostok-18

Despite warming relations with Moscow, Ulaanbaatar will maintain its 'Third Neighbour Policy'.

President for life: Xi’s campaign to reunify Taiwan
- China
- October 3, 2018
The self-ruled island’s position on the international stage has been severely curtailed by Beijing.

By Jonathan Frances
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End of the name game? Macedonia holds crucial referendum
- Europe
- September 29, 2018
Voters have a once in a generation opportunity to put to rest the longstanding name dispute.

By Evangelos Nicolaidis
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Overshadowed by scandal: the future of Macron’s presidency
- Europe
- September 29, 2018
France’s centrist leader is struggling to maintain support for his ambitious reform program.

By Margaret Goydych
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Wilayat Sinai: corroding security and Sisi’s legitimacy
- Middle East
- September 25, 2018
The extremist group is entrenched in the peninsula. It will take more than force to oust them.

By Tom Connolly
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FROM THE ADVISORY BRANCH

Reliant on money from China, Australian universities are exposed to geopolitical risk
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Recommendations to strengthen Australia’s relations with the African continent
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Uncertainty over US-China relations in the NDAA 2019
- Asia Pacific
- September 16, 2018
Implementation of the US pivot to Asia remains haphazard and piecemeal.

By Tommy Chai
Idlib province: the Syrian revolution’s last stand
- Middle East
- September 14, 2018
Despite the apparent threat, a massive assault against Idlib is unlikely – for now.

By Henry Storey

Is the ‘Australia solution’ the answer to Europe’s immigration crisis?
- Europe
- August 30, 2018
Canberra’s hardline immigration approach has been touted as a model but obstacles remain.

By Henry Storey
The Saudi blockade on Qatar: likely outcomes in 2018
- Middle East
- August 26, 2018
The diplomatic crisis, first thought to last only weeks, is dragging on into its second year.

By Jamie Horsfield