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Tom Connolly

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    Tom Connolly

  • Mozambique’s northern insurgency continues to rage

    Mozambique’s northern insurgency continues to rage

    • Africa
    • October 18, 2020

    Conflicting policies and poor regional coordination are stymying the counter-terrorism strategy.

    READ MORE
  • The enduring diplomatic struggles of Ethiopia’s dam plan

    The enduring diplomatic struggles of Ethiopia’s dam plan

    • Africa
    • September 7, 2020

    Egypt’s water interests are clashing with Sudan’s agricultural aims and Ethiopia’s energy superpower goals.

    READ MORE
  • Maputo on the defensive: Mozambique’s insurgency heats up

    Maputo on the defensive: Mozambique’s insurgency heats up

    • Security & Terrorism
    • July 15, 2020

    Islamist militants have made inroads into the resource-rich but marginalised Cabo Delgado region.

    READ MORE
  • Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin: a merger of al-Qaeda affiliates

    Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin: a merger of al-Qaeda affiliates

    • Security & Terrorism
    • April 25, 2020

    The al-Qaeda affiliate presents a complex social, economic and security challenge for Sahel nations.

    READ MORE
  • Boko Haram in Cameroon: compounding security concerns

    Boko Haram in Cameroon: compounding security concerns

    • Africa
    • February 16, 2020

    Despite community resistance, the Islamist extremist group has gained a foothold in the security void.

    READ MORE
  • Armed groups are expanding their presence in Burkina Faso

    Armed groups are expanding their presence in Burkina Faso

    • Africa
    • November 17, 2019

    Burkinabe citizens are grappling with the consequences of a recent spike in militant violence.

    READ MORE
  • Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea: a maritime burden

    Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea: a maritime burden

    • Africa
    • September 24, 2019

    Regional governments will struggle to halt a spike in petro-piracy and kidnap for ransom schemes.

    READ MORE
  • Al-Shabaab in Kenya: cross-border attacks and recruitment

    Al-Shabaab in Kenya: cross-border attacks and recruitment

    • Security & Terrorism
    • May 28, 2019

    The extremist group will remain a threat to Kenya until its conscription tactics are addressed.

    READ MORE
  • Daesh in the Congo: red herring or Central African Wilayat?

    Daesh in the Congo: red herring or Central African Wilayat?

    • Africa
    • May 5, 2019

    Ties between the two fundamentalist groups are concerning but the depth of cooperation is uncertain.

    READ MORE
  • The Ogossagou massacre: Mali’s ethnic and Islamist divisions

    The Ogossagou massacre: Mali’s ethnic and Islamist divisions

    • Africa
    • April 9, 2019

    Conflict is escalating in the country’s north, which has been riddled with violence since 2012

    READ MORE
  • Le pouvoir: a rattling of the Algiers gerontocracy

    Le pouvoir: a rattling of the Algiers gerontocracy

    • Middle East
    • March 16, 2019

    Peaceful protests forced the president’s resignation. But the ruling party will fight to stay in power.

    READ MORE
  • Kagame and Kigali: Rwanda’s curious rise to Africa’s envy

    Kagame and Kigali: Rwanda’s curious rise to Africa’s envy

    • Africa
    • February 13, 2019

    The country’s meteoric rise to regional powerhouse has come at the cost of civil freedoms.

    READ MORE
  • 2019 forecast: deepening political strife in Burundi

    2019 forecast: deepening political strife in Burundi

    • Forecast
    • January 7, 2019

    Systemic state-led repression leaves little hope for improvement in the new year.

    READ MORE
  • 2019 forecast: Iraq – investment versus insurgency

    2019 forecast: Iraq – investment versus insurgency

    • Forecast
    • December 31, 2018

    Iraq’s shaky new coalition government has a fiscal window to address major problems.

    READ MORE
  • 2019 forecast: Somalia – small improvements, big challenges

    2019 forecast: Somalia – small improvements, big challenges

    • Forecast
    • December 30, 2018

    Local elections will not offset anger over border clashes, insurgencies, and corruption.

    READ MORE
  • 2019 forecast: Ethiopia ushers in a new regional era

    2019 forecast: Ethiopia ushers in a new regional era

    • Forecast
    • December 30, 2018

    Savvy diplomacy should boost the economy but domestic tensions will persist.

    READ MORE
  • Libya’s hopeful elections: wishful thinking writ large

    Libya’s hopeful elections: wishful thinking writ large

    • Middle East
    • November 25, 2018

    Entrenched militia and self-interested politicians are majority stumbling blocks to a successful vote.

    READ MORE
  • Relations in Horn of Africa: a thawing of hostilities

    Relations in Horn of Africa: a thawing of hostilities

    • Africa
    • November 5, 2018

    The easing of tensions between Eritrea and Ethiopia could be fresh trouble with Djibouti.

    READ MORE
  • Wilayat Sinai: corroding security and Sisi’s legitimacy

    Wilayat Sinai: corroding security and Sisi’s legitimacy

    • Middle East
    • September 25, 2018

    The extremist group is entrenched in the peninsula. It will take more than force to oust them.

    READ MORE
  • Shifts in the hydropolitical landscape of the Nile Basin

    Shifts in the hydropolitical landscape of the Nile Basin

    • Africa
    • July 12, 2018

    Egypt’s historic hegemony over the Nile is being tested by Ethiopia’s extensive dam project.

    READ MORE

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