After much delay, the body of Congo’s opposition leader, Etienne Tshisekedi – who died last month in Brussels – was to be returned to Kinshasa on Saturday. But earlier this week, his family announced the trip would be postponed, accusing the government of blocking the move.
This is unsurprising: Mr Tshisekedi and his opposition coalition had been a thorn in the side of President Joseph Kabila. After Kabila refused to cede power late last year, Tshisekedi instructed his followers to take to the streets, threatening unrest and a backslide into civil conflict. Congolese remember such horrors well – the country fought a bloody five-year war from 1998 to 2003, which ultimately caused the death of more than 5 million people.
But late last year, crisis was averted when a power transition agreement was reached between the late Etienne Tshisekedi and President Kabila. Mr Tshisekedi was to lead that transition; his death throws those plans into turmoil.
Kabila will exploit the confusion in his attempts to hang onto power for an unconstitutional third term. Expect further civil unrest in the coming months as opposition figures jockey for influence and try and enforce the transition agreement.
Simon is the founder of Foreign Brief who served as managing director from 2015 to 2021. A lawyer by training, Simon has worked as an analyst and adviser in the private sector and government. Simon’s desire to help clients understand global developments in a contextualised way underpinned the establishment of Foreign Brief. This aspiration remains the organisation’s driving principle.