Henry is one of Foreign Brief’s Middle East and North Africa risk analysts. From Damascus to Tel Aviv he will keep you up to date with all the important developments in the region.
The Eid ceasefire demonstrated the viability of peace – but it weighs numerous competing interests.
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The deal will collapse when European companies, under threat of US sanctions, leave Iran.
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The growing list of mutually hostile actors in Syria may sleepwalk into a conflict they didn’t want.
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If President Trump terminates the Iranian nuclear deal, the Middle East may face a nuclear arms race.
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Italian politicians will soon find their work to slow the flow of migrants from Libya is not over.
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The domestic upheaval will disturb the theocratic leadership in Tehran — but fail to bring change.
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The Trump administration is unlikely to achieve a peace deal by forcing Palestinians to compromise.
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Careful leveraging of their advantages should see the Syrian Kurds retain their autonomy.
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Each setback to peace in the southern Philippines has encouraged more radical insurgents.
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National strategic interests have taken precedent over the suffering of hundreds of thousands.
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